docs(nests): T16 closure roadmap + 4 follow-up plans

Plans the path from 'infra shipped' to 'full coverage with
correct behaviours'. Five new plan docs in nestsClient/plans/:

1. 2026-05-07-t16-closure-roadmap.md — index + priority order.
   Three sequential steps + one independent track.

2. 2026-05-07-moq-relay-routing-investigation.md (Priority 1)
   — root-cause the moq-relay 0.10.x per-broadcast subscribe-
   routing race. Step-by-step: capture relay-side trace, write
   minimum reproducer, file upstream OR bump moq-relay version.
   Smoking gun + hypotheses already in place from the
   late-join-flake investigation; this plan turns that into
   actionable next steps.

3. 2026-05-07-tighten-cross-stack-assertions.md (Priority 2)
   — once the routing race is closed, replace the five soft-
   pass scenarios in BrowserInteropTest with hard floors.
   Lists each scenario, its current soft-pass behavior, and
   the proposed hard threshold.

4. 2026-05-07-cross-stack-interop-ci-gating.md (Priority 3)
   — re-add the hang-interop + browser-interop GitHub Actions
   jobs that were dropped in 6829ab727 / b94737de7. Includes
   the exact YAML to restore and a 10/10 sweep stability bar
   before merge.

5. 2026-05-07-framespergroup-production-rerun.md (independent
   track) — re-run the HCgOY two-phone field tests against
   current nostrnests production at multiple framesPerGroup
   values to settle whether the test pin (5) and production
   default (50) can converge.

Estimated total: 2.5-3.5 days of focused work to fully close
T16. After these four: I7 post-reconnect cliff and I12 GOAWAY
remain open as genuinely upstream-territory items, tracked in
their existing investigation docs.
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# T16 closure roadmap — full coverage with correct behaviours
**Goal state.** Every spec'd cross-stack scenario green in suite-mode
sweeps, asserting its full design intent (no soft-passes, no vacuous
threshold loosening), with CI gating live and stable.
**Where we are.** The merged `claude/cross-stack-interop-test-XAbYB`
branch ships 22 of 23 spec'd scenarios; each passes individually.
Suite-mode runs hit a residual moq-relay 0.10.x routing race on a
specific subset (~40-60% flake rate). Five scenarios soft-pass the
listener side as a known-flake mitigation. CI is intentionally
unwired pending stability.
This roadmap takes the suite from "passes individually" to "passes
in suite + CI" through three sequential plans. None should be
parallelized — each unblocks the next.
## Priority 1 — `2026-05-07-moq-relay-routing-investigation.md`
**Why first.** The race is the root cause of every soft-pass and
the reason CI isn't wired. Without resolving it, downstream plans
mask flake rather than catch regressions.
**What lands.**
- Either an upstream moq-relay version bump that closes the bug,
OR a documented relay configuration tweak that does.
- Or, if neither: a filed `kixelated/moq` issue with reproducer +
trace pair, plus a documented decision to keep CI unwired until
upstream resolves.
**Acceptance bar.** 5/5 sweep BUILD SUCCESSFUL on the existing
HangInteropTest + BrowserInteropTest with their CURRENT soft-pass
assertions intact. (The next step tightens those.)
## Priority 2 — `2026-05-07-tighten-cross-stack-assertions.md`
**Why second.** Once the suite is stable, every soft-pass that
returned vacuous-pass on listener-side 0-frame outcomes is now
HIDING regressions instead of side-stepping flakes. Replace each
with a hard floor.
**What lands.**
- Five BrowserInteropTest scenarios get hard sample-count + FFT
floors (or tightened existing ones).
- Gap matrix updated to reflect hard-pass coverage.
**Acceptance bar.** 5/5 sweep AGAIN, this time with hard
assertions. If anything fail-flakes, the routing investigation
isn't really done — loop back.
## Priority 3 — `2026-05-07-cross-stack-interop-ci-gating.md`
**Why third.** Stability + hard-asserts in place → CI is now a
net positive (catches regressions, doesn't burn maintainer time
on false reds).
**What lands.**
- Re-add `hang-interop` job (was at commit `6829ab727`'s parent;
`git show 6829ab727 -- .github/workflows/build.yml` reverse
gives the exact diff).
- Re-add `browser-interop` job (same pattern, plus bun +
Playwright caches).
- Documentation update across the results plan + gap matrix.
**Acceptance bar.** 10/10 sweep before merge; ≥ 95% CI green
rate over the first 2 weeks. If lower, the upstream race isn't
fully closed — pull the jobs.
## Independent track — `2026-05-07-framespergroup-production-rerun.md`
This one **doesn't block the closure roadmap**. It can run any
time after Priority 1 is done; it settles whether the test pin
(5) and production default (50) can converge, or whether they
must remain different. Either outcome is shippable.
**What lands.**
- Logcat data from a fresh two-phone field test against current
nostrnests production at multiple `framesPerGroup` values.
- A data-driven decision on whether to change the production
default, the test pin, or neither.
**Why it's parallelizable.** Doesn't gate the test suite or CI;
it gates a one-line code change to `NestMoqLiteBroadcaster`'s
default constant.
## After all four close — what remains
Two open items, both genuinely upstream:
1. **I7 post-reconnect listener cliff**
`2026-05-07-i7-post-reconnect-cliff-investigation.md`. The I7
reverse scenario passes its 2.5 s threshold but a regression
test of "all post-reconnect data arrives" would require the
moq-relay 0.10.x per-broadcast forward queue fix. Same upstream
class as the routing race.
2. **I12 GOAWAY** — only re-emerges if an IETF moq-transport
target lands (currently moq-lite-03 only). Tracked in
`2026-05-06-cross-stack-interop-test-results.md`.
Beyond those: T16 reaches "full coverage with correct behaviours"
when this roadmap closes.
## Estimated wallclock
- Priority 1: 12 days (depends on whether upstream version bump
fixes it, or we have to file + wait for upstream).
- Priority 2: 0.5 day (mechanical replacement of soft-passes
with floors, plus rerun verification).
- Priority 3: 0.5 day (re-add CI jobs, run the 10× sweep, merge).
- Independent track (framesPerGroup): 0.5 day (needs prod-rig
access).
Total: 2.53.5 days of focused work to take T16 from "infra
shipped" to "fully closed".
## Plan files
- `2026-05-07-moq-relay-routing-investigation.md`
- `2026-05-07-tighten-cross-stack-assertions.md`
- `2026-05-07-cross-stack-interop-ci-gating.md`
- `2026-05-07-framespergroup-production-rerun.md`
- (this file) `2026-05-07-t16-closure-roadmap.md`